Wednesday, 14 January 2015

87th Academy Awards Predictions: Be prepared for snubs and surprises!



Less than a day before the 87th Academy Awards nominations will be announced by Chris Pine, Alfonso Cuaron and J.J. Abrams. Do you spot anything they have in common? They are stars from star-related films such as Star Trek and Gravity. Does this hint Interstellar will have the most nominations? Very unlikely for the top honours. Therefore, which films will receive nominations for the major categories? To speak with confidence and experience:

Boyhood
Birdman
The Imitation Game
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Selma

The rest is still unclear, and seldom would I use the word 'confused' in the context of predictions. You may skip to the predictions section from here, but filmAEO has valid reasons as to why snubs and surprises would be expected tomorrow.


Best Picture links to Best Director


To get the predictions correctly, one tends to think about the preferences of Academy voters, even provided that they have not screened some films at all. Therefore, the best way to guess is to see if the strong contenders have a strong deck of other nominations. Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild nominations are great indicators of Oscars nominations, although Golden Globes winners are well known for not accurately matching Oscars winners. The dilemma comes when you see Clint Eastwood (American Sniper) and Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game) were the surprising nominations for the Directors Guild of America (DGA awards), instead of Ava DuVernay (Selma) and David Fincher (Gone Girl). This issue backtracks the predictions for Best Picture, and one might think a nomination for Gone Girl would be gone. Also, the thought of Ben Affleck being snubbed two years ago for Argo would remain a classic example for those who did not get a DGA nomination. Thus, filmAEO thinks Ava DuVernay will make it to the five, especially when the Academy favours diversity and the fact that Selma is historically depicting Martin Luther King.

As we all know the Academy tends to think differently, supporters of Wes Anderson may have to be prepared for a snub at Best Director. On the bright side, his sure Best Original Screenplay nomination will solidify the ultimate win, similar to Ben Affleck receiving Best Picture for Argo despite the Director snub. The Directing category is always one of the trickiest to predict due to its limited number of voters within the Academy, unlike DGA which has over thousands of members.


Other tricky categories


Best Supporting Actress
- Jessica Chastain has done a lot of films this year, especially well performed in A Most Violent Year, yet Rene Russo in Nightcrawler can be a threat due to the momentum the film is picking up.
- Laura Dern in Wild can be nominated afterall, despite missing all the nominations for Globes and Screen Actors Guild.

Best Original Score
- Alexandre Desplat clashing his own votes on Unbroken, The Imitation Game and The Grand Budapest Hotel.
Alexandre Desplat ending up with two nominations.

Best Cinematography
- When Unbroken is not critically acclaimed, but its Cinematographer Roger Deakins is always appraised for whatever he does.

Best Film Editing
- The rule of thumb for most Best Picture nominees to have a least a nomination for editing. Will Lee Smith for Interstellar be nominated when the space-time travelling motion picture has confused most of the audience?


Overall impression


- The contenders for Best Picture that filmAEO has picked are as equally entertaining as one another, unlike last year when American Hustle and Dallas Buyers Club were strongly preferred.
- Some potential contenders have an open-ended conclusion that is seen unclear, and their directors would moan themselves for this.
- In some categories, veterans are in the way of emerging talented artists, but these newbies can still make an impression with a nomination.
- Whatever the result is, be prepared for the snubs and surprises!

KEEP CALM and see predictions from filmAEO :)


filmAEO predictions for 87th Academy Awards



Best Picture


American Sniper
Boyhood
Birdman
Gone Girl
Nightcrawler
Selma
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

Best Director


Richard Linklater (Boyhood)
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Birdman)
Ava DuVernay (Selma)
Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game)
Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)

Best Actor


Michael Keaton (Birdman)
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)
David Oyelowo (Selma)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)

Best Actress


Julianne Moore (Still Alice)
Reese Witherspoon (Wild)
Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything)
Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
Jennifer Aniston (Cake)

Best Supporting Actor


J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Edward Norton (Birdman)
Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
Robert Duvall (The Judge)

Best Supporting Actress


Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game)
Emma Stone (Birdman)
Meryl Streep (Into the Woods)
Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)

Best Original Screenplay


The Grand Budapest Hotel
Boyhood
Selma
Birdman
Nightcrawler

Best Adapted Screenplay


The Imitation Game
Gone Girl
Whiplash
The Theory of Everything
Wild

Best Animated Feature


The LEGO Movie
How To Train Your Dragon 2
Big Hero 6
Song of the Sea
The Tale of Princess Kaguya

Best Foreign Language Film


Ida (Poland)
Tangerines (Estonia)
Wild Tales (Argentina)
Force Majuere (Sweden)
Leviathan (Russia)

Best Cinematography


Interstellar
Mr. Turner
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Unbroken

Best Costume Design


Into the Woods
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Mr. Turner
Maleficent
Big Eyes

Best Film Editing


Nightcrawler
Boyhood
The Imitation Game
Whiplash
Birdman

Best Makeup & Hairstyling


Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Guardians of the Galaxy

Best Production Design


Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Interstellar
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner

Best Original Score


Interstellar
Gone Girl
The Theory of Everything
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game

Best Original Song


"Glory" (Selma)
"Everything is Awesome" (The LEGO Movie)
"Mercy Is" (Noah)
"Lost Stars" (Begin Again)
"I'm Not Gonna Miss You" (Glen Campbell… I'll Be Me)

Best Sound Editing


Interstellar
Godzilla
Unbroken
American Sniper
Fury

Best Sound Mixing


Interstellar
American Sniper
Whiplash
Into the Woods
Birdman

Best Visual Effects


Interstellar
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies
Godzilla

Sunday, 11 January 2015

72nd Golden Globes Predictions

                                                                                                                       Courtesy of Vulture

It is a crucial week ahead for Hollywood because the 87th Academy Awards will be announced on 15th January (Thursday). What is more exciting ahead in a few hours (GMT 01:00, 12th January) would be the 72nd Golden Globes Awards hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler for the third consecutive time. Although the Globes has a limited base of voters within their committee, winners of the night will boost momentum in their race for the ultimate honours, the Oscars. At these striking hours of reviewing the nominees for the Globes, filmAEO makes the daring predictions once again.

Motion Picture, Drama




Prediction: Boyhood

Reason: Never has a film done so to put this amount of effort on filming for 12 years. Director Richard Linklater has been making great films over the years and this has truly topped his career. Partricia Arquette's performance which is likely to win Best Supporting Actress would anchor the film's position for this award title.


Motion Picture, Comedy



Prediction: Birdman

Reason: Cinematography utilising natural lighting and contrast, coherence of the story all in one shot with nearly no editing at all (actually there was) and its great cast ensemble etc. These main factors contribute to the win of the title. Possible wins for Best Director and Best Actor, Comedy/Musical increase its chances as well.


Director



Prediction: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Birdman)

Reason: Lost this title to Martin Scorsese few years ago when he filmed Babel. An overdue for sure and the Globe committee owes him big time. Linklater may take over the title for his 12 years' effort and commitment to Boyhood, yet Inarritu filmed Birdman with less effort and demonstrated the art of filming well balanced in every aspect.


Actor, Drama



Prediction: Eddie Redmayne (Theory of Everything)

Reason: Two words: Stephen Redmayne. His performance, in particular facial expressions, bears a great resemblance to Stephen Hawking in person.


Actor, Comedy/Musical



Prediction: Michael Keaton (Birdman)

Reason: Been quiet for many years and his acting potential is yet to be noticed since Batman. All you need is one film in your acting career to take away the top prizes, and this is the moment for Michael Keaton.


Actress, Drama



Prediction: Julianne Moore (Still Alice)

Reason: Seeing the changes of an Alzhemier patient and understanding them through Julianne's performance, they are simply the winning elements when emotions convert into votes. Julianne is also nominated in Actress, Comedy/Musical category this year. This is the right moment to give her the title, which is also an appraisal for her amazing performances throughout these years.


Actress, Comedy/Musical



Prediction: Emily Blunt (Into the Woods)

Reason: If Amy Adams did not win last year, the title would have been hers. However, Emily Blunt's singing and acting is equally as amazing as Amy in Big Eyes.


Supporting Actor



Prediction: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)

Reason: This is the tempo you need as a supporting actor. Simmons' character has amplified the intensity of Whiplash.


Supporting Actress



Prediction: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)

Reason: She is the center of mass for Boyhood as the Mother to bring up the Boy. Great performance all the way through the film, meanwhile seeing her physical changes (aging) and the audience will always remember her last scene before the film ends.


Screenplay



Prediction: Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)

Reason: The Grand Budapest Hotel has become the highest grossing film of Wes Anderson's works. This is the category in which he would be recognised and rewarded for. 


Animated Feature



Prediction: The LEGO Movie

Reason: Everything is AWESOME! Lego has been a childhood memory for most of these Globes voters, and the many characters will be the everlasting collective memory for audience and future generations.


Foreign Language Film



Prediction: Ida 


87th Academy Awards Predictions up soon at filmAEO. Stay tuned!